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Monday, March 21, 2011
Libya may become Iraq Part II
I don't how many have realized that Libya is just another Iraq. Other than the centralized power under the Gaddafi there is only tribes, ethnic groups and religious sects. As happened in Iraq after the centralized power of Saddam was eliminated, all these factions will fight for power sinking Libya into a bloody fratricidal civil war. I hope we are grooming that former prime minister take power immediately after Gaddafi, because otherwise (or if this person fails) the only thing I see is another Iraq like trap. Because Libya is a big producer of oil, if after Gaddafi the country descends into civil war WE WILL HEAR OBAMA ANNOUNCING THAT WITH REGRET HE HAS NO CHOICE BUT TO SEND GROUND TROOPS TO DEFEND AMERICAN INTERESTS, STOP THE BLOODSHED, AVOID INSTABILITY IN THE REGION, AVOID THE POWER VACUUM THAT WILL MAKE LIBYA A SANCTUARY OF TERRORISTS, ETC, ETC, ETC. Sound familiar? Yes, same arguments we used to bankrupt the USA in the Iraq war.
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